Tag Archives: interest rate

Interest rate drops another 0,5 %

Governor of the Reserve Bank, Tito Mboweni, caught the market and most economists by surprise today, by cutting the interest rate by 50 basis points, to 7 %, a positive sign that may signal a reversal of the credit crunch.

The interest rate is an indication that the recovery of the economy has not been progressing as speedily as the government would like it, given the previous interest rate cuts since December.  It could also be Mboweni bowing to the pressure from trade union federation COSATU for a cut in the interest rate.   Finally, the cut may be a reflection of the slow but certain decrease in the rate of inflation.

The cut in the interest rate eases the pressure on family and buusiness incomes, and should have a positive effect on tourism.

Whale Cottage Portfolio: www.whalecottage.com

Profit pressure due to price push

The hospitality industry is under severe pressure to survive financially, given the decline in occupancy, and the reduction in rates to attract bookings and to conserve cash flow.

The increase in telephone costs, electricity costs, in the price of petrol and diesel, and in the Minimum Wage, combined with the lack of a cut in the interest rate by the Reserve Bank last week, is a severe blow to the industry, but also affects every South African household, the main source of income for the industry.

The worst shock is the increase in the price of electricity by 31 % from 1 July.   The increase is justified on the basis of new electricity infrastructure that is required, to prevent electricity load-shedding, as was experienced in 2007 and 2008.   Eskom had requested a 33 % price increase.

The price of petrol is set to increase by 40 cents a litre from 1 July, raising the price to R 7,90 a litre in Gauteng, reports Reuters.

TELKOM boasts about a minimal rise in its costs to consumers, but has sneakily left out the call cost increases of 11 %.

For hospitality establishments with fewer than 10 employees, the Minimum Wage increases by 11% to R 1 843,23 per month, R 425,43 per week and R 9,45 per hour from 1 July.   The formula for calculating the annual increase has been laid down by the Department of Labour ( consumer price index + 2 %).   Many staff may be prepared to hold their salaries to ensure that they maintain their jobs, but this flexibility is not allowed by the Department, who could not have foreseen the credit crunch when it introduced the Minimum Wage for the hospitality industry in 2007.

Interest rate drops by another 1 %

Cash-strapped South Africans are delighted that the Governor of the Reserve Bank, Tito Mboweni, decreased the interest rate by 1 % point, to 7,5 %, yesterday.

Mboweni announced the interest rate cut a day after the official announcement that South Africa is in a recession, having experienced two successive quarters of negative economic growth.   The economy contracted by 6,4 % in the first quarter of 2009, Mining and Manufacturing taking the biggest knocks, at 33 % and 22 %, respectively.   The category “Wholesale, retail, restaurants and hotels” had the smallest decrease, at 2,5 %, while the construction sector grew by 9 %, reports The Times.

Mboweni made his announcement against the background of a downward inflation trend, expected to average 6,9 % this year and 5,5 % in 2010, with food inflation peaking at 17 % but slowing down (Mboweni blamed a food cartel for the high food inflation); the second quarter is expected to have a lower negative growth rate compared to the first quarter; and the global downturn is showing “tentative signs” of “bottoming out”, according to Moneyweb.

The interest rate cut is the fifth since Mboweni started cutting the interest rate in December 2008.   Consumers are hoping for a drop in the price of petrol next Wednesday too.

Good news kicks off Worker’s Day weekend

South Africans received two pieces of good news on the eve of the Worker’s Day long weekend:   the interest rate decreased by 1 percentage point, and the price of petrol will decrease by 3 c per litre on Wednesday 6 May.  

The third 1 % point decrease in three months is excellent news for cash-strapped South Africans, who are starting to feel the effect of the global credit crunch.   For the hospitality industry the steady decrease in the interest rate is a welcome relief as the industry goes into the seasonal winter slump between May and August.

While the petrol price decrease is only 3c per litre, it is a welcome reversal of the steadily increasing price of petrol since the beginning of the year.   The stronger Rand at the moment may be part of the reason for the reduced petrol price.